Job growth in funeral service will be roughly equal to the overall national growth rate in employment over the next 10 years, according to the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The bad news, however, is that there are fewer people working in the industry now than previously reported and any increase in employment is tempered by the prediction that new hires will not keep up with attrition.
A recent update to BLS figures on employment in funeral service shows that there are 1,400 fewer people working in the industry than in 2024, even though the bureau predicts a steady 4 percent increase in staff over the next 10 years.
In addition, despite an increase of approximately 2,200 workers by 2034, it is expected that 5,800 jobs will open yearly during the 10-year period. The openings are caused by retirements and people leaving the traditionally time-intensive profession.
That disparity between hiring and exiting employees was reflected in the bureau’s estimates. In 2024, BLS estimated there were 61,000 current funeral service workers, but the 2025 estimate indicated that only 59,600 people were employed, a marked difference in staffing.
The bureau laid the blame for some of the problems with funeral service employment on the increase in the number of families choosing cremation instead of traditional burials.
“This demand [for funeral service workers] will be constrained by consumers increasingly preferring cremation, which costs less and requires fewer workers than do traditional funeral arrangements,” the bureau said.
Nationally, approximately 61.8 deaths result in cremation, according to the Cremation Association of North America. That rate is expected to increase to 72.9 percent by 2034. In New Jersey, where the number of cremations is behind national figures, the rate is expected to increase to 69.3 percent in the next 10 years.
The rise in cremations also has affected the profitability of funeral homes, which can further restrict hiring. The difference between a typical full-service funeral and a cremation can reach $6,000, according to figures gathered for the 2025 New Jersey State Funeral Directors Association Biennial Statistical Pricing Survey. With more than 39,000 cremations held in 2024 in New Jersey, the pricing difference could range into the millions of dollars.
Exacerbating the problem is the dearth in qualified candidates to step into roles as full-time funeral directors. While the number enrollees in accredited funeral service education programs nationally are at near record levels, those actually graduating and entering the profession are well below what is needed to replace those leaving full-time employment.
Out of 2,016 graduates of accredited funeral service education programs in 2024, only 1,643 became employed in a funeral service-related profession, according to statistics gathered by the American Board of Funeral Service Education.